Summary:
Fibonacci ratios are one of the most commonly
used techniques in technical analysis of the financial
markets. If you are already a successful trader or a
trader just starting out, Fibonacci Retracements provide
valuable insight and triggers on where high probability
change will happen.
The Fibonacci Retracement is
likely the most common of all Fibonacci related tools. While
there are many variations of the ratio set, I think simple
is better.
- 23.6% -- The shallowest of the retracements. In
very strong trending markets price typically quickly
bounces in the area of this ratio.
- 38.2%--- This is the first line of defense of the
current trend. Breaking this level starts to erode the
underlying trend.
- 50% -- the neutral point of any retracement. This is
the critical tipping point.
- 61.8% -- retracing to this typically signals a
breakdown in the trend.
- 100% -- Matching the initial move
Within this set, 38.2%, 50% and 61.8% I find
quite reliable. I use the others as more confirmation and as
part of clusters.
The Fibonacci Extension
is less common but just as powerful when correctly applied.
Used as part of a money management strategy and as profit
target projection tool, Fibonacci Extensions provide guidance
on where price will potentially stall or change direction.
Used in combination, these two ratio sets provide very tradable
indicators of opportunity. If you then combine Fibonacci with
other indicators like oscillators and moving averages, you can
quickly identify high potential risk/reward opportunities.
While not perfect, they are one of the best tools
available.
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